Showing posts with label deficit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deficit. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

               Do we need the banks in their traditional form anymore?


Ben Bernanke has told “close friends” he may not stand for re-election even if President Obama wins, the New York Times reports.

Bernanke’s term as Federal Reserve chairman ends Jan. 2014. This may be the perfect time to switch to true Cloud Banking.


Some Landmarks to ponder in the era of negative real interest rates:

 On January 2 2011 the 13 week Treasury Yield (3 months)was was 0.12%.


 On July 2 2011 (the announced end of QE 2) this yield was still 0.01%.


 On January 2nd 2012 the 13 week Treasury Yield (3 months)was 0.001%. 

 By September 17th 2012 - the date that QE3 was announced the yield had gone up to 0.09%.

 Today October 23 2012 it stands at 0.10%  - that is an increase in yield of 99 basis points (nearly a full 1%!).

During all this time inflation as reported by "official" Government sources was far in excess of this 1% yield. So the stated goal of preventing deflation is achieved - inflation is definitely with us.

Also: money supply in the USA and Worldwide has exploded exponentially.

         deficits have continued to exceed a trillion dollars in the USA
         
            unemployment remains stubbornly above 8% in the population of       
              people still seeking work in the USA.
             
                real estate is barely budging off the bottom and the number of 
                   "underwater" mortgages has barely stopped declining.

The Fed balance Sheet has also exploded, tripling in size.

The fed achieved its goal of preventing deflation. What has this all done for the US economy and the rest of the world economies?

    the US dollar is worth significantly less than two QE's ago.

    The stock markets are up significantly as is the price of precious metals measured in US dollars. 

Is this the purpose of QE? 

Doesn't look good for QE3 that started a month ago, does it? we are very far from suffering from deflation.

And the US big banks are wildly profitable again....

     Why are you surprised? The shareholders of the Fed are exclusively banks.
The Fed was set up in 1913 to ensure the survival of the banking system. 

The Fed is wildly successful in that primary mission. That is the true purpose of all this QE.

A Government granted monopoly to print money, and manipulate interest rates primarily benefit the Fed's owners. Not the citizens of this country.

It creates money out of thin air and lends it to its member banks (and anyone else deemed qualified to play in this sandpit) and allows these banks to use the bulk of this funding to buy Government issued debt  that pays a significantly higher interest rate back to the banks and voila!!

The banks make a "riskless" positive return! They get healthier and the population languishes in stubborn unemployment, and inflation in a stagnant economy.

Do we need the banks in their traditional form anymore? 

In this electronic age where the chance of getting a loan depends on a mystifying creditworthiness determining algorithm.....

Why not simply apply to a credit rating agency and skip the banks altogether?

Why not have Google or Microsoft or Heaven Forbid, Facebook just set up a server farm and have everyones' earnings deposited into an electronic cloud account? Or dare I say it - have the IRS do this.

Then the individual could choose to lend his excess balance to whomever he/she pleases using the magic creditworthiness algorithm. All funds transfers once approved are made electronically between the accounts in the cloud.

The IRS gets to track everything and remove its share from the repayments as they are made (getting rid of the need for a whole layer of Taxpayer paid pencil pushers).

Ads are sold to cover the cost of the server farms and of course add to the taxable revenues to be collected.

Think of the benefits! 

We will know second by second how much revenue the Government has to squander er spend on "investments". 

Putting the Government on the same system will allow us to watch, second by second, how much the Government actually spends in real time. And to whom the money was transferred.

Instant budget deficit/surplus calculation to be displayed on the famous Debt Clock.

Instant accountability for the expenditures! 

No more crooked politicians, or devious lobbyists or foreign money inflows influencing elections!! No more corruption or tax evasion. Complete transparency for every aspect of your life.

Privacy? Who cares.. you lost that years ago.

I can but dream.





     

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

U.S. won't devalue its dollar to boost exports, Geithner says

There is no future in the U.S. devaluing its dollar to gain an economic advantage, and the government has no intention of trying slash the dollar's value to boost exports, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said. "It is very important for people to understand that the United States of America and no country around the world can devalue its way to prosperity, to [be] competitive," he said. "It is not a viable, feasible strategy, and we will not engage in it." Reuters

That dog wont hunt... talk about trying to close the open barn door...Timmy the horse is gone!! OMG, I am still laughing….

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

QE2 in round trillions

As commenbted on by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard in The Telegraph September 20th.(Ambrose Evans-Pritchard has covered world politics and economics for 25 years, based in Europe, the US, and Latin America. He joined the Telegraph in 1991, serving as Washington correspondent and later Europe correspondent in Brussels. He is now International Business Editor in London)

"Here is a back-of-an-envelope guess by David Greenlaw at Morgan Stanley on what the Fed can expect from a second blitz of bond purchases, or `Shock & Awe’ as he calls it.
If Ben Bernanke does a further $2 trillion (on top of the $1.7 trillion already in the bag) the yield on 10-year US Treasuries will drop 50 basis points to around 2.2pc.
GDP growth will be 0.3pc higher than otherwise in 2011 and 0.4pc higher in 2012.
The unemployment rate will be 0.3pc lower in 2011 and 0.5pc lower in 2012 — (in other words drop from 9.6pc to 9.1pc, ceteris paribus).
That looks like trivial returns for a collosal adventure into the unknown, with risks of dollar flight and mounting Chinese suspicions that the US intends to default on its external debts by debasement."

Amen

click heading for link to full story

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Treasuries Lack Safety, Liquidity for China, Yu Yongding Says

ALARM! ALARM! - US Government policies are unmasked for the threat they pose to the Wealth of Nations and worldwide stability. Can a war be far behind?

Excerpts from an article that appeared on Bloomberg yesterday. For full article click on headlie above for a direct link to it.

By Bloomberg News Aug 3, 2010 4:06 AM EDT

U.S. Treasuries fail to provide safety or liquidity when it comes to managing China’s $2.45 trillion foreign-exchange reserves, said Yu Yongding, a former central bank adviser.

“I do not think U.S. Treasuries are safe in the medium-and long-run,” Yu, a member of the state-backed Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, wrote yesterday in an e-mailed response to questions. China is unable to sell the securities in a “big way” and a “scary trajectory” of budget deficits and a growing supply of U.S. dollars put their value at risk, he said.

The cost of pegging the Chinese currency to the dollar is “intolerably high” and threatens the welfare of Chinese people, Zhang Ming, deputy chief of the International Finance Research Office at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, wrote today on the website of China Finance 40 Forum.

“The U.S. government has strong incentives to reduce its real burden of debt through inflation and dollar devaluation,” he said. “Whichever way it is, the yuan-recorded market value of Treasuries will fall, causing huge capital losses to China’s central bank.”

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

U.K. seems to be moving to monetize its debt

What makes you think the Fed (here in the USA) is not doing the same thing? Watch what is done, not what is said.

The British government denied that it plans to inflate away debt, but its actions suggest that is exactly what it intends to do, according to The Economist. A program
by the government's National Savings and Investments that paid the rate of inflation plus 1% was closed because of its runaway popularity. Meanwhile, the Bank of England recently bought more than enough debt to fund the deficit for a year, a classic debt-monetization technique that dates back to Germany's Weimar republic, The Economist notes.

Monday, July 12, 2010

U.S. debt could "destroy the country from within," officials say

Erskine Bowles, a member of U.S.
President Barack Obama's deficit commission, delivered a stark warning that the runaway deficit "is like a cancer." Bowles, previously chief of staff for President Bill Clinton, was joined by former Sen. Alan Simpson in saying that debt "will destroy the country from within" if left unchecked.
The Washington Post

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Allstate CEO Says State Borrowing 'Out of Control

This should be no surprise to you, dear reader. “Nobody has the intestinal fortitude to actually move forward to try to change anything,” CEO Wilson said of government debt at the federal, state and local levels. “They’re just sort of sitting there waiting for disaster to happen.” And disaster is exactly what they're going to get.

Read the whole story here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-07/allstate-ceo-says-government-borrowing-out-of-control-munis-may-suffer.html
or just click on the headline above

China won't flee U.S. debt and shift to gold, a regulator says

China will not use its $2.45 trillion in foreign reserves to pressure other nations and has no intention of dumping U.S. Treasury securities, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said. "Any increase or decrease in our holdings of US Treasuries is a normal investment operation," according to a statement from the foreign exchange regulator. The agency said China is a long-term investor that "doesn't seek the power to control recipients of its investment."
Xinhuanet.com
Were his fingers crossed behind his back as he made this statement?
Click on the headline to see a full story

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Budget Deficit Widens on Lower Tax Revenues and Massive Spending

The Federal deficit hit $765
billion in the first five months of the budget year, approximately 65% higher than the gap for all of the prior year. The
Congressional Budget Office estimates the U.S. budget deficit will top $1.2 trillion in the fiscal year 2009. The deficit
reached $192.8 billion in February, a record for the month but below expectations of $205.7 billion. The slow
economy sharply reduced the government’s tax revenue last month to $87.3 billion, 17% below the previous year.
Meanwhile, government spending soared.